Crime down?

prospectus · February 2008

Crime getting better? Or have the muggers just been staying home, afraid of catching cold in chilly late January? Or is it the new cops?

Here are the latest police numbers on robberies/muggings for us (the 77th Precinct which includes most of Crown Heights and Prospect Height) and them (the 78th Precinct, which covers Park Slope).

The numbers for us are the lowest since early November.

Week
Starting.....77th........78th
1/28.............3............3
1/21.............6............2
1/14...........10............3
1/7...............9............5
12/24.........10............3
12/17.........11............7
12/10.........11............6
12/3.............8............4
11/26.........13............1
11/12...........7............5
11/5............ 5............6
10/29.........18............1

These numbers come from the police. You can see the latest at:

http://www.nyc.gov/html/nypd/html/crime_prevention/crime_statistics.shtml

But the cops don't keep an archive. You can see statistics going back a few months at:

http://nyc.everyblock.com/crime/locations/police-precincts/77/

paraderest · February 2008

But if you look at the robberies for the same week in 2007 for the 77...it's exactly the same. The frequencies of robberies has decreased from a month or so ago but they also went down this week last year.

prospectus · February 2008

ParadeRest wrote: But if you look at the robberies for the same week in 2007 for the 77...it's exactly the same. The frequencies of robberies has decreased from a month or so ago but they also went down this week last year.

True — some of this is probably a seasonal thing. Fewer people are out when it's colder.

But last year was a lot colder than this year, especially last week. It didn't feel at all like January/February. Fun fact: The high temperature on Friday, February 1, 2008 was 56F, says Weather Underground.

Also, even if the drop is seasonal, it's nice to be back where we were last year, before bashing people with iPods became a thing…

matt foley · February 2008

Crime getting better? Or have the muggers just been staying home, afraid of catching cold in chilly late January? Or is it the new cops?

Clearly, the mugging map is starting to pay off.

sillybilly · February 2008

Subject: It's the weather

... when it's cold outside the kiddies would rather play with the loot they swiped last time around. But don't worry, as the temperatures rise, so will they.

daver · February 2008

Well, on one hand Parade Rest's addition is discouraging, but on the other hand I can't help but think that the new cops are making an impact. The presence is so overwhelming, that my thought is that even though the numbers are matching 2007, the difference is that the current numbers would be much HIGHER and worse without the new cops.

Well, that's my theory at least. Go cops. Boo robbers.

prospectus · February 2008

Subject: Fresh from Comstat

Another week's robbery numbers. Once again, we are down from the highs of December. And once again we are exactly the same as last year:

Crown Height and Prospect Heights (77th Precinct)
Week 2/4 - 2/10, 2008: 6
Week 2/4 - 2/10, 2007: 6
percentage change: 0%

28 Days that ended 2/10, 2008: 25
28 Days that ended 2/10, 2007: 25
percentage change: 0%

I still think it's nice to be where we were before the boom in iPod-related bashings. To compare, in nice, boring Park Slope, with no new cops, robberies are still rising year over year:

Park Slope (78th Precinct)
Week 2/4 - 2/10, 2008: 2
Week 2/4 - 2/10, 2007: 1
Park Slope percentage change: +100%

28 Days that ended 2/10, 2008: 10
28 Days that ended 2/10, 2007: 8
Park Slope percentage change: +25%

king without a crown · February 2008

CRIME SNEAKING 'UP'By PERRY CHIARAMONTE and LARRY CELONA February 12, 2008 -- What's come down may be creeping back up.
The city was hit with a crime rise in the first six weeks of the year - the first time that's happened since 1994, new figures show.
So far this year, there've been 12,611 major crimes reported around the city, compared with 12,533 for the same period in 2007 - a 0.62 percent increase.
Rapes increased the most; there have been 166 this year, compared with 130 for the same 2007 period - a 27.6 percent rise.
Murders are at 42 so far this year, a 2.4 percent hike over the 41 at the beginning of 2007.
Staten Island appeared particularly hard-hit, with a 23 percent rise in major crimes. A total of 407 have been reported so far; last year, there were 330.
Police unions have pointed to an overtime cutback and lack of hirings.
NYPD spokesman Paul Browne noted the 0.6 percent rise in overall crime was slight - and that there's been a 70 percent compared with 1994.
As of 2005, New York's crime rate was the lowest among the 10 largest US cities.
As of Dec. 31, 2007, New York had 494 reported homicides, down from 596 in 2006 - the first year since 1963, when crime statistics were initially published, that the total was fewer than 500.
Major crimes are defined as murder, rape, robbery, assault, burglary and grand larceny.

Crime down?

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