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Four Horsemen? — Brooklynian

Four Horsemen?

lo kee
edited November -1 in Prospect Heights
Lehman's gonna go. If Merril is next are we on our way back to a "Ford to City: Drop Dead" era?

And if so, is that necesarily a bad thing? Sorry have to slay that sacred cow, but when regular folks already can't afford to keep a roof over their heads maybe some severe short term pain is in order to bring rent/mortages and the cost of living back in line with real wages?

Maybe not?

New York city has been spared the economic turmoil engulfing the rest of the nation but conventional wisdom says it fall last and recovers last.

Also, does anyone else think the fundamental problem is our failure a s a nation to replace secure, high paying factory jobs with anything? How can you be middle class in this country anymore?

Finally, is that enough questions for one post?
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Comments

  • manufacturing jobs gone the way of dinosaurs, and kids graduating dumber than doornails unable to fill the hightech jobs that are available. We are in deep doo-doo.
  • Guvna wrote: manufacturing jobs gone the way of dinosaurs, and kids graduating dumber than doornails unable to fill the hightech jobs that are available. We are in deep doo-doo.
    And high tech jobs also going to the weastern hemisphere, with no corresponding mitigation with new upper middle class or even middle class job creation.

    We are Effed.
  • NOT one reporter asking people on the street what is happening on Wall Street. How it's going to impact them. The only thing being talked about is the "Lipstick" issue. No one cares.

    Guess we'll have our bibles, guns and know how to field dress a moose to survive into the next century.

    We are F*cked as a country.

    :cry:
  • I have been warning people about this for months now. It is only going to get worse. MUCH MUCH worse.

    Enjoy life now while you can. In a matter of weeks the siht will have coated the fan. Loose, drippy, stink, siht. All over the place.

    Obama, McCaine, two faces on the same body. Sheeple better wake tfu.
  • I have a friend at Lehman's (though maybe not anymore, I should really call...) and his prediction was we have at least another year like this - with financial crisis, etc. until things bottom out before they get better.
  • mantic wrote: I have been warning people about this for months now. It is only going to get worse. MUCH MUCH worse.

    Enjoy life now while you can. In a matter of weeks the siht will have coated the fan. Loose, drippy, stink, siht. All over the place.

    Obama, McCaine, two faces on the same body. Sheeple better wake tfu.
    Oh boy, another "two sides of the same coin" joker...

    You guys lost all credibility after 2000, you realize this don't you?
  • Obamanut wrote: Oh boy, another "two sides of the same coin" joker...

    You guys lost all credibility after 2000, you realize this don't you?
    I would say that there are significant differences, but as far as the deficit and the national debt, they both suck (a LOT) and haven't a clue.

    And we won't have to worry about them being on the same coin, either will make sure there ain't a coin to spare...
  • I was wondering, isn't this partially the result of those years of artificially low interest rates from Greenspan? I know it kept the economy chugging, but it seems like borrowing money was too cheap and encouraged recklessness. Why isn't anyone blaming him?
  • mitchell73 wrote: I was wondering, isn't this partially the result of those years of artificially low interest rates from Greenspan? I know it kept the economy chugging, but it seems like borrowing money was too cheap and encouraged recklessness. Why isn't anyone blaming him?
    Funny you should mention it- I was listening to a reporter on 1010 this morning and they were interviewing some poor ex-Lehman guy carrying his office-in-a-box. They asked him what was to blame. He said one word over and over: "Greenspan."
  • so, if I borrow money because it has a low rate and/or they lend it to me because they were too lazy to check my references, then I somehow I get to blame the bank when I can't repay it?

    ...am I the only one who thinks the government should only have a minimal role in rescuing such banks and borrowers? ...if the economy is going to collapse, yes, the government should prop them up ...but if its just going to cause people to only borrow what they can pay back, and the banks to only lend to people who have a chance of paying it back.... I don't see the problem.

    The whole country has been living off borrowed money to prop up its economy. At some point someone has to stop lending it to us, and we have to start living within our means. Yes, that means we will no longer have the illusion of being one of the richest countries in the world. It's ok to be 4th or 5th...
  • whynot_31 wrote:

    The whole contry has been living off borrowed money to prop up its economy. At some point someone has to stop lending it to us, and we have to start living within our means. Yes, that means we will no longer have the illusion of being one of the richest countries in the world. It's ok to be 4th or 5th...
    Living off borrowed money.

    Living off speculative development to sell to someone who wanted only to flip it to the next sucker.

    Where are all these people going to go now that this industry has cratered. It was the ony bright spot in our economy.
  • it's like the internet boom with all of the sites that somehow worth ore based on how many hits they got. ...none of them made any actual profit.

    Likewise, you putting granite in your Akron OH home may increase its value on paper, but no one has actually purchased it. You don't have a buyer, and they should be the ones who actually determine a homes value ...not banks or real estate agents.

    ...the banks and real estate agents told buyers the homes were valued at the amount of the loans, and the buyer signed on the dotted line. If the banks can get the profit when you pay the loan back, the gov should not bail them out when the market turns and the borrowers can't pay them back. ....it sucks to be a banker and a borrower in that circumstance, but it shouldn't suck to be a tax payer.
  • I thought God didn't have a country...

    Fasten your seat belts, this depression is going to be a doozy!

    Even if the government and citizens begin to act responsibly, the economy will be a mess for years to come. But don't get your hopes up that anyone is going to start acting like adults just yet, "culture wars II" is now on dvd.
    If you really believe that McCain/Palin will yield the same result as Obama/Biden, you need to think through the scenario again.

    The war is off budget ($600 plus billion and increasing $12B per month).
    The Bear Sterns bailout is off budget ($29B).
    Freddie Mac / Fannie Mae is off budget (maybe $300B plus).
    Bush's current budget should be at least $350 Billion higher than the projected $407 billion deficit.

    Now we are talking real money - single year budget decifits of ove $750 billion.

    Kiss your retirement goodbye (if there is anything left after today's 500 point plunge).

    But I don't agree this is good for New York City, or the United States.
  • maybe the europeans will continue to prop up NYC's economy. ...I can hope.

    I can learn French?
  • I heard you can make a bundle in Alpacas

    http://www.alpacainfo.com/
  • can I borrow against my house to buy some? ...they look cute.

    Will the government bail us out if we all buy them, and then they are struck by some strange fungus?
  • Well, I think you can qualify for farm subsidies with them...
  • NYTIMES .COM

    The financial crisis entered a potentially dangerous new phase on Wednesday when many credit markets stopped working normally as investors around the world frantically moved their money into the safest investments, like Treasury bills.

    Key word: dangerous.

    I am not an alarmist but when someone as studied as Greenspan describes this as a one in a century event (despite the fact that he helped create it), I think we are in deep doo doo.
  • You think they'd let my Alpacas graze in Prospect park?

    If it gets really cold, and heat becomes too expensive, can I slay my Alpaca and then sleep inside it (ala Star Wars)?

    Can we retitle thread this the Four Alpacamen?
  • Gold, chocolate, and stiff-necked art seem to be the investments of choice now. Oh, and treasury bills.

    Again say: We are truly, truly in deep doo-doo.

    Delay that retirement a decade or two.
  • What happens in six months, when the average american realizes that the rest of the world is not in a bad recession ...just the US? Yes, the US will have slowed the world economy for a while, but we are one of the few that is fundamentally unsound.

    They will blame someone ...immigrants, Iran, someone.

    This is the day I fear, not the depression itself.
  • Europe and part of asia are in recession.
  • yes, but they do not carry the same amount of debt. Their investments are down because they invested here....

    Their economies are not tied to speculation to the same degree as ours.
  • When Asia stops buying our debt we are really screwed.
  • madman wrote: When Asia stops buying our debt we are really screwed.
    yup, but the optimistic side of me says they'll "save" their money in productive forms....

    Faced with low returns from investment in the stock market, they could:
    Invest in parks for the populace.
    Implement pollution standards to clean up the air they breath.

    ...and other ways of investing that almost exclusively benefit their own country.

    Coal ash, for example, mostly falls back to earth within 500 miles.
  • Funny how everyone becomes a socialist when these big financial institutions start failing.
  • With an impending depression on the horizon,it may be time to think about becoming a used stroller dealer.
  • MeredithB wrote: Funny how everyone becomes a socialist when these big financial institutions start failing.
    I'm not the one who nationalized most off the nation's mortgage debt, but can likley dig up a DSA card with my name dating back to '88 (ah, college...)

    P.S. DSA, if still around, stands for democratic socialists of america
  • as it turns out, we have more to fear from unregulated capitalists than we do from any socialists.
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