how would p-heights weather a downturn?
When I read "What Happens If It Bursts?" in last weekend's Times, I couldn't help wondering how Prospect Heights would fare in an economic downturn. The article says that proximity to resources (transportation, shopping) is key to property maintaining its value, which would seem to bode well for the PH.
What do others think?
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/27/realestate/27bubble.html
What do others think?
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/03/27/realestate/27bubble.html
Comments
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Subject: Your loan is the issue
I think PH will be ok. We have the park, the subways...etc.
But the prices are getting ridiculous. What happens to co-ops when people start defaulting on their loans. Maintenance increases...large ones???
Check out this diary posted on DailyKos.com. Yikes.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2005/3/28/124557/561 -
Wow. That Daily Kos thing is quite a post...
I was trying to point people to this thread, but it looks like they are commenting back on the blog: http://www.dailyheights.com/archives/2005/03/impending_econo.html -
my real question (and i hope i'm not sounding too optimistic) is, what is the likelihood of an economic downturn around here anyway? does the Times know something we don't?
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The world's supply of cheap, easily exploitable oil is pretty much exhausted, but we should be fine. Especially if you have roof rights--now's the time to start planning that subsistence farming plot!
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Subject: downturn
proho is not a hot trendy place (yet) and so prices have not sky-rocketed in my opinion. A lot of the higher priced places involve new construction
or conversion which allows for seemingly loftier (no pun intended) amounts being asked. In any event, it can't be compared to Manhattan which is out of control. This is a real neighborhood with a great mix of people, near subways, culture, etc., . It should do just fine IF there is a so-called downturn. -
Hopefully if the market crashes at least reefer prices will go down
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Subject: Culture Vultures
I am so sick of all of the Yuppies and Gentrifiers moving into what used to be a GREAT Neighborhood. I can't wait for stadium to be built and for rents to go up. When that happens, the only people who will be able to afford to live in the neighborhood will be the super-rich and the super-poor! The city's not giving up their low-income section housing 8 (nor should they!) and guess what folks? The drug dealers, loud music, and people from the 'hood aren't going anywhere. And neither are the barber shops, hair salons, or nail salons. People of Color (me included!), like to look good. We take pride in our appearance and can appreciate a good manicure every week. So, if you're gonna live in Prospect Heights, get used to everything about it. I can't wait for Ratner to tear down those overpriced lofts! I can't wait for the ball players to take over Brooklyn! Jay Z is coming. P-Diddy is coming. And the Nets are coming. I am so, so, excited! Ya'll ain't ready for the African-American Nouveu Riche. -
Subject: Prospect Park real estate prices
Let's not forget, whether you like the idea or not, that the new Richard Meier luxury condominium tower (One Prospect park) is coming to the corner of Eastern parkway and Plaza Street!
Together with the close proximity to EXPRESS train service to Manhattan and the great Prospect Park and the re-design and construction all along Eastern Parkway up to Washington Avenue and available parking....PROSPECT HEIGHTS WILL SURELY MAINTAIN ITS VALUE and be one of the last area's to actually get hit in an economic downturn...IMO! -
To the poster named "guest" from April 1:
I agree that the low-income housing will remain, and Washington Avenue seems safe from major gentrification for now. However, the barber shops, hair salons, and nail salons on Vanderbilt will get priced out before long. Just because they have a steady customer base does not mean the proprieters could afford, or would be willing to pay, the rent increase their landlords are sure to demand once the leases come up for renewal. And those that own their buildings will probably be tempted to sell. -
anybody who thinks Ratner has the existing community's best interests at heart is going to be in for a rude awakening in the next few years. you may be right about the area only being affordable by the super rich soon, but who do you think that will be? I don't think Jay-Z is coming back here.
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If this is any sign of what's to come, our building was just sold and the new owner is jacking up the rent 14 percent.
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Jack,
I bet Washington Ave gentrifies faster than you may think. Multiple condo developments will come on the market in the next 6-24 months which will bring in a new demographic, creating demand for new types of stores.
The developer's group claims to have contracts or accepted offers on 5 of the 8 units on prospect pl just off of classon. Take a look at the asking prices. (481 Prospect Pl, top of the page) http://www.thedevelopersgroup.com/apartments/apartmentlisting.aspx?col=unit&page=3&;
I believe the Washington is doing well with their sales efforts. Additionally permits have been pulled for 2 more developments on Washington btwn Saint Marks/Bergen and one more on Bergen St. -
Anon,
Perhaps you're right. Lately, while walking up and down Washington and Classon and I've noticed quite a few buildings (or permits for buildings) going up:
-one on St. Mark's, between Washington and Grand
-another on St. Mark's, between Classon and Franklin
-one on Washington, not far from Gen
-the old Jewish Hospital on Classon has been refurbished and bears a sign advertising rentals
-the building next door to Tavern on Dean
Only time will tell, I guess. -
All this construction going on is amazing thing, considering I stepped over numerous crack vials on the sidewalk just half an hour ago while walking the dogs on St. Marks between Washington and Underhill. That block and corner are notorious for drugs and violence. There were 2 shooting murders {that I know of} there last year, conveniently not mentioned by any press whatsoever. 3 weeks ago there was a large puddle/splatters of blood and tissue soaked into the old snow by the side of the road, same corner. Do people even have any idea about this when they're going to see expensive condos half a block away? I wonder. Not too worried about gentrification yet. {no salty talk, see andy? I can do it!}
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Subject: good to know
thanks for the heads up on the crack vials and bloody history of st/ marks and underhill...
scary stuff...
i for one, know that the hood is still gritty, on the edge and gentrifying...all those auto body shops are proof...and the fact that there
are so many lots w/ mangy (guard) dogs and in some cases, scary killer-type dogs...
months ago, as i rode by on my mtn bike to check out classon, grand, etc, i saw one guy urinating on the side of a garage, and another whistling at me, possibly to sell me drugs, since i looked out of place, riding thru the hood. i mean, why else would i be there, right? to get some crack, of course
this forum has also let me know about all the muggings, etc in the neighborhood..
unfortunately, it's a fact of life for most ppl in nyc that sometimes you have to purchase in areas that are not necessarily the greatest. sure, i can move to fresh meadows, queens and take a bus to the subway and take a 1 hour ride to tribeca for work, or i could move to forest hills and have a 2br condo or coop for half the price...but hey, the same reason you love ph, i have found some redeeming factors in it myself...
by the same token, tribeca used to be a wasteland, as did park slope, ad infinitum
thanks -
This is interesting. Sje's points were what originally led me to believe that Washington would not gentrify. But ltjbukem also makes a good point about how neighborhoods can change. I guess we'll see what happens.
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I'm not saying Washington won't change, I think it will...eventually, if the economy holds but...please do some research, and ask around before you blithely buy into a "developing" neighborhood thinking all is ok. The car repair lots with those poor dogs seem very busy, and I don't see them going away anytime soon. Who-ever lives here is going to have to tolerate them, like I have..
There are two thriving businesses on the worst drug corner, {wash. & St. Mrks} Kinky Crowns and Restaurant Gen, I thought they'd make a big difference, but the dealers/crackheads do their dirty work late at night, after they're closed. -
Haven't we just HAD an economic downturn? Hopefully that would answer some questions...
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Strap in, kiddies.
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You really must be friggin BORED bumpin these dirt old threads!
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King without a crown wrote: You really must be friggin BORED bumpin these dirt old threads!
Totally. -
PS sorry dont mean to be dredging up old BS, was waiting on a flight that I was originally sposed to be on yesterday.
Been all about hurry up and wait this weekend.
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