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NEW POSTING FROM REAL ESTATE APPRAISER HMS — Brooklynian

NEW POSTING FROM REAL ESTATE APPRAISER HMS

rbg
rbg
edited November -1 in Prospect Heights
Hi Neighbors:
I just received this blog posting from a Real Estate "insider."

Below please find a summary of a news release that HMS put out today. Your thoughts are welcome as always on a topic that has all of the local market talking:

As the average Brooklyn home price dropped two percent to $695,285 in the third quarter of 2008 from $708,457 in 2007, it has become a buyer's market, with more inventory out there and sellers being forced to bring prices down to get property to move. This does not downplay the difficulty of getting financing in this tighter credit market, but if a property is priced well and the buyer has good credit and a decent income, the market right now favors the buyer. The number of Brooklyn properties sold rose one percent from 988 to 999.

The two percent price drop in Brooklyn in the third quarter compares with an eight percent rise in the second quarter of '08 and a three percent increase in the first quarter of this year.

While the average price boroughwide dropped two percent, neighborhood by neighborhood sale prices varied. They were up in Brooklyn Heights and Prospect Heights but fell in Sheepshead Bay, Greenpoint, and Park Slope. The number of homes sold rose in Carroll Gardens, Williamsburg, and Marine Park but dropped substantially in Greenpoint, Fort Greene, and Brooklyn Heights.

In three neighborhoods not included in the study, Bedford-Stuyvesant, East New York, and Brownsville, site of numerous apparent turnovers, flips, and subprime loans, the picture was bleaker. Here there was a 50 percent decline in housing sales during a recent six-month period because of tighter lending standards. A recent CNN/Money report named Bed-Stuy as among neighborhoods with the highest foreclosure rate nationally.

Single family home prices across all neighborhoods studied fell from $738,000 to $734,000, four-family homes rose from $1,212,000 to $1,423,000, co-ops fell from $557,000 to $492,000, while condos were up from $657,000 to $687,000.

What's happening in Brooklyn reflects the Manhattan market. Wall Street layoffs and smaller year-end bonuses are having an impact on the Manhattan market, and that means Brooklyn prices will continue to come down as well. You'll have fewer Manhattan clientele coming to Brooklyn because Manhattan prices are lower too.

Comments

  • Interesting.

    Kinda cool/sucks to see that Greenpoint will probably be getting cheaper soon, as 1. I want to rent there now, but 2. I wouldn't mind buying there in 2-3 years.
  • I tried to sell my small 2 bedroom through Corcoran a few months ago and I only received two offers--one offer was 30K below asking---and it was a FIRM offer...I was seduced by the bells and whistles of the new condos and desperatley wanted one for myself...Once I realized the sale wasn't going to happen, I pulled my place off the market and added my own "bells and whistles." My kitchen gut reno is almost complete and I'm content again. Drop me a PM if you're thinking about renovating your kitchen...There are some great (and economical!) places in the neighborhood....
  • Cool The Kid wrote: Interesting.

    Kinda cool/sucks to see that Greenpoint will probably be getting cheaper soon, as 1. I want to rent there now, but 2. I wouldn't mind buying there in 2-3 years.
    Best case scenario prices will bottom out in 9-12 months, so you shold still be good in two years.

    Price have just started to come down, don't expect themt or ebound overnight.
  • Lo Kee wrote: [quote=Cool The Kid]Interesting.

    Kinda cool/sucks to see that Greenpoint will probably be getting cheaper soon, as 1. I want to rent there now, but 2. I wouldn't mind buying there in 2-3 years.
    Best case scenario prices will bottom out in 9-12 months, so you should still be good in two years.

    Price have just started to come down, don't expect them to rebound overnight.

    I agree that prices won't rebound immediately. Basically, nobody knows where the market is going, how long it will be down, or how long it will take prices to recover. Sure, it doesn't look good right now, but I've been hearing "will bottom out in X and then recover" for the past year or so.
  • I'm trying to close the purchase of a place right now, even though I believe prices are going to keep dropping. My wife and I are going for it.

    Why? We like the place a lot better then where we live now. We've been trying to get back to Brooklyn for too long and I'm tired of waiting and going to open houses.
  • RBG wrote: one offer was 30K below asking---and it was a FIRM offer...
    Our opening bid was $57K below the ask. The owner didn't hang up on me and we met about in the middle...
  • prospectus wrote: I'm trying to close the purchase of a place right now, even though I believe prices are going to keep dropping. My wife and I are going for it.
    And besides, if you buy a place, the price is probably only going to drop slowly and steadily, whereas if your deposit is invested elsewhere you could lose half or all of it in no time flat.
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